Skip to main content

Why Traders faded the spike in Oil prices after the OPEC+ Meeting

Brent Crude Oil Prices plummeted to $ 79.94 post the OPEC+ meeting after reaching as high as $84.51 in the session earlier and are trading lower in the Asian Session today.

Meeting Highlights

OPEC+ reached an agreement to deepen Oil production cuts. The total voluntary cuts for the Q1 total 2.184 mn bpd. Since the nature of cuts was voluntary, it was announced by each member state and not by the group as a whole.

Country Cuts ('000)
Algeria 51 
Kazakhstan 82 
Saudi Arabia 1,000 
Russia 500 
Oman 42 
Iraq         211 
Kuwait 135 
UAE 163 
 
Total 2,184 

Brazil (the largest oil producer in Latin America since 2016) would join the OPEC+ group effective in January.

Angola has rejected its quota

What the market thought about announcement???

"this is a repackaging of previously agreed measures, with some uncertain extras". 

"the concern is that a large fraction of it could be a pledge on paper and effectively less barrels             being removed from the market"

"it isn’t clear how much of this will actually result in barrels coming out of the market, rather than         "paper" cuts against higher quotas, or cuts versus quotas that are already not being hit."

Technically, after the Head & Shoulder breakdown on Nov 7, 2023, prices have largely consolidated between $79 - $84. The technical picture looks weak . The target for the H&S is $72 which coincides with the cluster of supports.



Have a wonderful day !!









Comments