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Dovish Comments from Fed Waller / Higher USTS / FFR is now pricing in 1 full rate cut by May 2024

"I think a life properly lived is just learn, learn, learn all the time" US Treasury Curve bull steepened overnight on dovish comments from an otherwise hawkish FOMC member Christopher J. Waller, DXY plummeted and Gold prices after being capped at $ 2000 since October finally broke out higher to trade a high of $ 2043. In his speech titled "something appears to be giving, and it's the pace of the economy", Mr. Waller commented that economic growth has moderated and that is more in keeping with progress on lowering inflation. Fed Reserve Board Member Waller said " I am increasingly confident that policy is currently well positioned to slow the economy and get inflation back to 2 percent. That said, there is still significant uncertainty about the pace of future activity, and so I cannot say for sure whether the FOMC has done enough to achieve price stability. But the recent loosening of financial conditions is a reminder that many factors can affect these co...

Recap on Domestic markets

 Let's quickly summarize the price moves in the domestic market: Asian markets echoed the risk sentiment seen overnight. Domestic equities continue to trade lower with price range in a narrow band of 17820 - 17885. RBI LAF window saw injection of 11K crore yesterday. USDINR traded heavy at the 82.60 region and by 1:30 pm IST fell to 82.29 lows while the forward curve consolidated the recent fall in premiums. The action was muted across OIS curves and G-sec curve. 1Y OIS flat at 6.8150% and 5Y paid 3 bps higher at 6.39%. Other news of interest: China's Alibaba Group sells its entire remaining 3.4% stake in Paytm MSCI said it plans to cut the weightings for 4 Adani Group companies - Adani Enterprises, Adani Total Gas, Adani Transmission and recently acquired ACC Cements. The four companies had a combined 0.4% weighting in the MSCI emerging markets index as of Jan. 30. The changes come into effect on March 1. Acc to Periscope Analytics, around $570 million is estimated to be sold ...