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Overnight Recap 04 Jan 2024

 US Yields rose overnight and S&P 500 closed the day 0.34% lower as markets pared Interest Rate Cuts expectations on strong employment data and resilience of the Services Sector. The market implied Fed Fund Pricing for 2024 now stands at -138 bps at 3.95% from recent -160 bps. US2s10s bear steepened and USDJPY rose 1% on the day as markets pushed back expectations of an early policy pivot by BoJ. EURUSD registered modest gains of 0.20% as the EU Services PMI numbers came in at 48.80 signaling a modest contraction in output as business confidence improved.

ADP Employment Change 164K, E 115K, P 101K
Initial Jobless Claims w/e Dec 29 202K, E 216K, P 220K
Continuing Jobless Claims w/e Dec 22 1.855M, E 1.882M, P 1.886M
S&P Services PMI A 51.4, E 51.30, P 51.30

 Bonds

High

Low

Close

DoD Change

US 2Y

4.399

4.299

4.387

         5.40

US10Y

4.006

3.901

4.001

         8.10

US2s10s

-0.386

-0.413

-0.386

         2.70

US30Y

4.156

4.062

4.154

         7.90

JGB 10Y

0.632

0.603

0.622

       -0.30

 

Currency

H

L

C

H/L

EURUSD

 

1.09722

1.0914

1.09444

0.53%

DE10Y-US10Y

-1.86

-2.011

-1.86

0.21%

USDJPY

 

144.849

142.851

144.622

1.40%

GBPUSD

 

1.27295

1.26565

1.26816

0.58%

AUDUSD

 

0.67598

0.66965

0.67062

0.95%

USDCAD

 

1.3366

1.33169

1.335

0.37%

USDSGD

 

1.33026

1.327

1.32944

0.25%

USDCNH

 

7.17823

7.15249

7.17258

0.36%

USDKRW

 

1315.01

1305.2

1313.28

0.75%

Dollar Index

102.527

102.145

102.419

0.37%

 

 

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